Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.437247 0.504657 0.578063 0.663808 0.761089 0.867897 0.993915
2025-08-31 0.310453 0.399121 0.505322 0.641313 0.810187 1.012316 1.271831
2025-09-07 0.262054 0.364383 0.495655 0.675099 0.912507 1.214145 1.624448
2025-09-14 0.211482 0.314543 0.454724 0.657207 0.939641 1.316630 1.854262
2025-09-21 0.174440 0.275468 0.420183 0.639565 0.959949 1.406143 2.068709
2025-09-28 0.146884 0.245007 0.392329 0.625609 0.980569 1.493900 2.283808
2025-10-05 0.131863 0.230945 0.386039 0.641225 1.043697 1.645086 2.599385
2025-10-12 0.122806 0.224823 0.390641 0.673030 1.132892 1.840262 2.993611
2025-10-19 0.112073 0.214188 0.386320 0.689323 1.198076 2.002519 3.348239
2025-10-26 0.101182 0.201632 0.377035 0.695790 1.246889 2.141470 3.674848
2025-11-02 0.090584 0.188050 0.364185 0.694300 1.281360 2.258596 3.973021
2025-11-09 0.080254 0.173482 0.347756 0.684403 1.299759 2.349404 4.232654
2025-11-16 0.071070 0.160102 0.332347 0.675394 1.320004 2.446721 4.513972
2025-11-23 0.061489 0.144559 0.311052 0.653172 1.314377 2.499056 4.722286
2025-11-30 0.059157 0.143982 0.318927 0.687578 1.416292 2.747956 5.292286
2025-12-07 0.051883 0.131485 0.301201 0.669385 1.416281 2.812380 5.535039
2025-12-14 0.045574 0.120196 0.284569 0.651443 1.414680 2.872909 5.773534
2025-12-21 0.040362 0.110670 0.270525 0.637249 1.418889 2.943925 6.035234
2025-12-28 0.037979 0.107692 0.270573 0.653131 1.485545 3.138832 6.544108
2026-01-04 0.036917 0.107897 0.277843 0.685476 1.588933 3.411927 7.220281
2026-01-11 0.034869 0.105232 0.278108 0.702046 1.659946 3.625009 7.791172
2026-01-18 0.032390 0.101032 0.274215 0.708622 1.709665 3.797994 8.292160
2026-01-25 0.029697 0.095817 0.267207 0.707107 1.741163 3.935175 8.728261